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Cognos is a web-based suite of tools from IBM that offers a full range of business intelligence (BI) capabilities including reports, analysis, dashboards, scorecards, mobile BI and more. Cognos is Purdue’s primary Business Intelligence(BI) tool and is used to access many of the university’s BI environments including those to access student-related data.
Sat, 16 Jul 2022 07:12:00 -0500en-UStext/htmlhttps://www.purdue.edu/enrollmentmanagement/data-reports/cognos/Killexams : Where have all the candidates gone?
Opinion editor's note:Editorialsrepresent the opinions of the Star Tribune Editorial Board, which operates independently from the newsroom.
Increasingly, Minnesota voters are encountering ballots with too-few options. They're used to seeing only one candidate in judicial races. Still, there's a bigger problem with a lack of quality competition — or no competition at all — in a growing number of local contests.
The number of uncontested races has gone up, meaning that the electorate has less say in representation. In many cases, the decisions made by political parties and insiders lead to fewer choices. And some would-be candidates have been scared away by divisiveness and what they see as thankless work.
That's not good for voters, for candidates, or for governing bodies such as school and county boards, city councils and the Legislature. Elected bodies need members who are more representative of the variety of people that they serve. And they need members with a range of skills, professional backgrounds and abilities to oversee taxpayer dollars and public policy.
Five of nine seats were open in this year's Minneapolis school board elections, and all went to newcomers with little experience. Of the five, two ran unopposed.
In Ramsey County, both the sheriff and county attorney ran without opposition. And in rural and metro areas, voters in 24 races had just one candidate for a state House or Senate seat. So of the 201 seats in the Legislature, candidates in just under one in eight races were unopposed.
That's the highest number of uncontested races since 2008 — the last year there were no unopposed legislative candidates. It's been more typical in the previous two decades to have about five to seven races with only one candidate.
So why is this happening, and can anything be done about it? According to some party leaders and analysts, the nasty, contentious political environment and late legislative redistricting hindered candidate recruitment in House and Senate races. And the window for campaigning was shorter than usual.
Political expert Larry Jacobs from the University of Minnesota's Humphrey School told a Star Tribune reporter that politics has become an often "horrible process: horrible for the candidates, horrible for their families. It's gotten more and more brutal."
Earlier this month, in an interview with an editorial writer, Jacobs said some of that can be changed by the voting public. "Voters need to demand vastly more coverage of public policy issues. We need to place more value on that," as well as more face-to-face debates and other forums with candidates.
Before the Nov. 8 election, the Star Tribune Editorial Board made a similar case in arguing for higher-quality campaigns. Having more quality candidates willing to run for public office is also critical.
"The polarization in politics generally has made it harder to get people who aren't [already] involved in politics interested in running," Ken Martin, chair of the Minnesota DFL, told the Star Tribune. "Given how toxic the environment has become, it's very difficult to convince people to provide up a job that pays them more to become a member of the Legislature."
Constituents can help by toning down their criticism of elected officials, or at least approaching disagreements without anger and abuse. They should encourage and support more well-qualified candidates to step up for public service. And political parties should work harder to field candidates even in districts they believe the other side will win.
The news media also has a role to play by focusing on issues-based political coverage and giving candidates a forum for constructive disagreement. We all can do better — especially given Minnesota's rich history of civic engagement and good government.
Wed, 16 Nov 2022 09:53:00 -0600Editorial Boardtext/htmlhttps://www.startribune.com/where-have-all-the-candidates-gone/600226703/Killexams : A ‘rainbow wave’ of candidates made history. What’s next for them?
When James Roesener answered the phone to speak to a reporter on Thursday, it was impossible not to hear his smile.
Roesener, a 26-year-old high school graduate and store manager in Concord, N.H., was two days removed from making history: becoming the first out transgender man to ever be elected to a state legislature.
He had seen plenty of enthusiasm for his campaign in the months leading up to his election, Roesener said: “Actually, a lot of people didn’t know that there weren’t any trans men in legislative office yet, so they were really hyped to be part of that.”
Still, the outpouring of attention — “overwhelmingly positive,” he said — took Roesener by surprise.
He’s still coming to terms with the gravity of his historic achievement.
“We can move mountains as a community, and we’re just kind of getting started,” Roesener said. “I’m excited to be in a time where I get to see the people who do that.”
He was reminded that he was one of those people.
Roesener laughed in response. “That’s true,” he said. “Maybe it hasn’t sunk in.”
Roesener was part of an unprecedented “rainbow wave” of LGBTQ candidates who ran for office in record numbers and won in record numbers. According to the Victory Fund, an LGBTQ political PAC that tracked queer and trans candidates across the country, out of 714 out LGBTQ candidates who appeared on Tuesday’s ballots, 436 won their races, with the possibility of even more gains in the coming days. (As of Friday morning, 25 races were undecided.)
It was also the first time out LGBTQ candidates were on the ballot in all 50 states — as well as D.C., Guam and the U.S. Virgin Islands. But their unprecedented success comes at a time when LGBTQ rights are at risk across the country.
Some of these trailblazing candidates will work in statehouses that have made curbing the rights of LGBTQ people a legislative priority. Others will be in a position to help codify more LGBTQ protections. As many of these barrier breakers come to terms with their historic success and what it means to their communities, they must also look ahead to what’s next.
The midterms brought more good news for LGBTQ candidates beyond their record wins. Nevada voters passed an Equal Rights Amendment that is considered the most comprehensive in the nation, prohibiting discrimination on the basis of sexual orientation and “gender identity or expression,” among other attributes. And there were cisgender candidates who pledged to protect queer and trans people, such as Pennsylvania Gov.-elect Josh Shapiro (D), who were embraced by large shares of voters.
Leigh Finke, a state representative-elect in Minnesota, expected that she and other LGBTQ officials would “have to fight like hell to protect the rights we have.” Finke is the first out trans woman to be elected to the Minnesota state legislature. Her run was inspired by fears that the statehouse would move in the direction that others have: toward curbing the rights of trans people.
But this week, Democrats notched major wins in Minnesota, maintaining their majority in the Minnesota House, flipping the Senate and reelecting Gov. Tim Walz (D). What’s more, all the out LGBTQ candidates on the ballot (11 total) won their races, Finke said.
“What I expected to be the case in Minnesota was a new group of queer people would come into a minority situation in the House or Senate. ... And that didn’t happen,” Finke said.
Now, Finke said, LGBTQ groups in the legislature can focus on protecting and advancing their rights, not defending them.
“The landscape has just completely changed,” she said. “I’m so excited and so eager to get in and do the work for our community.”
This is why having equitable representation of LGBTQ people in politics is so valuable, especially in state and local races, said Albert Fujii, press secretary for the Victory Fund.
“Congress gets a lot of attention, but at the end of the day, the policy that really directly impacts LGBTQ folks is at the local and state level,” he said. “It’s school boards, it’s city councils, it’s state legislatures. That is where LGBTQ freedoms are fought and won.”
And they’re happening in places some wouldn’t expect.
When Montana state representative-elect Zooey Zephyr got on a plane from New York to Montana on election night, she was flanked by people who had voted for her, she said.
There “were about a half-dozen people on the plane who were asking me about the results as it was going,” Zephyr said. Not long after her flight landed, Zephyr became the first trans woman in Montana’s state legislature.
Zephyr knows she will face challenges when she takes office next year. Republicans are poised to have a supermajority in the Capitol, where they have advanced a slew of anti-LGBTQ laws, including one that bars trans girls from competing in girls’ sports from kindergarten through college.
But those policies are the reason Zephyr decided to run in the first place. And, buoyed by the show of support from her Missoula community and people across the country, Zephyr is excited to get to work on housing issues as well as LGBTQ protections, such as banning conversion therapy.
She’s also nervous — which is not necessarily a bad thing, Zephyr said. She has been channeling the advice of a former wrestling coach, Zephyr said: “If you’re not nervous, you’re not ready.”
Those nerves are signaling to your body that what you’re doing is important to you, Zephyr said. “Every fight that will be going on in the legislature will be important to me, and it will be worth fighting for, and that means it’s worth being nervous about.”
These LGBTQ battles in conservative strongholds are important to highlight, advocates and scholars said. This is especially true for trans and nonbinary people, who have seen an uptick in laws eroding their rights.
“No matter where you live in this country, there are trans people fighting for their own safety and dignity,” said Gillian Branstetter, a communications strategist for the American Civil Liberties Union. And they’re picking up allies along the way.
A run for public office can have an especially powerful ripple effect for marginalized groups, said TJ Billard, an assistant professor at Northwestern University and executive director of the Center for Applied Transgender Studies.
“I do think [it] plays a major role in how civically engaged people are in their local communities,” Billard said.
Mauree Turner broke barriers in 2020 when they were elected to the Oklahoma legislature, becoming the first publicly nonbinary person to win such a victory in the country. Turner was also the first Muslim in Oklahoma history to serve in the Capitol. They were reelected Tuesday, earning nearly 80 percent of the vote.
Turner, a Democrat, has seen their work galvanize grass-roots political campaigns across Oklahoma County — the only county in the state that saw major Democratic wins this election cycle. And Turner can see that energy spreading: “Some of the most progressive conversations I’ve had have been in rural Oklahoma.”
But after serving their first term, Turner is also aware of the costs of being the first. During their term, Oklahoma passed a law banning the use of nonbinary gender markers on state birth certificates and a bill withholding public funds from the Oklahoma University Children’s Hospital on the basis of providing gender-affirming care.
Being a trailblazing representative can be “very toxic work,” Turner said. “You get that vitriol first and foremost before other folks really see it. I’m like, ‘Oh, God.’ This is so much worse than I think people expect or understand.”
Turner battles internally with encouraging other members of their community to get into the arena with them, “to say, ‘Do this, too. Take these lashings, too, and we get to go so much further.’ ”
Still, Turner feels deeply indebted to their community, which keeps Turner going.
“I’m just so thankful that I’m alive today and I get to do this work, because there’s so many in the community who don’t get to be,” Turner said. “I get to do that because of everybody in my life that is attached to me.”
The following Cognos system reports (login required) are recommended by Accounting Services for Research and Sponsored Programs (ASRSP) for administrators to use when monitoring their unit's sponsored projects.
GM044 - Sponsored Project Portfolio
This report displays balances for active projects including totals for direct and indirect expenditures as well as encumbrances by department and/or principal investigator
It can run for negative balances only to monitor deficit spending
Drill through available by project to the GM045 - Sponsored Project Budget Statement
GM086 - Projects Balances Report
Similar to Sponsored Project Portfolio, but with added data fields including ASRSP Grant and Contract Financial Administrator (GCFA) Name, Award ID/Sponsor ID, Start and End dates
No drill through capability
Recommended by ASRSP: run for current period, all Contract Statuses, Active Projects, and specify either a particular PI for Manager/Reviewer field or select particular department for a detailed view of the current financial status of your constituency. View in Excel 2007 Data file type.
GM045 - Sponsored Project Budget Statement
Displays direct and indirect expenditure totals by project against the total budget amount along with project demographic data
Dollars are broken out and shown by Current Accounting Period, Fiscal Year to Date, and Inception to Date
GM047 - Milestone (Deliverable) Report
Used by department administrators and PIs in tracking upcoming deliverable due dates to assist in meeting sponsor and institutional requirements
GM091 - Sponsor Payments Received
Presents details of payments received by contract, with a breakout by project
Payment activity includes all forms of payments as well as a subset of write-offs and other maintenance items
Note: For converted non-clinical awards, payment data prior to December 2008 is not available
GM092 - Subcontract Monitoring Report
Displays a complete list of fully-executed subcontracts
Current status for funding and disbursement
Includes the burn rates (percent disbursed)
GM093 - Cost Share Commitment Status
Presents revenue and expense data from NUFinancials Commitment Control for sponsored projects with cost sharing
Grants users a multi-year view of budget, revenue and expense on cost share funds
Provides a comprehensive view of all departments committing cost share funds to a given sponsored project
GM096 - Grants Transaction History Queries
Displays expense and budget transactions on sponsored (grant) chart strings. This report, when downloaded to Excel, can be used in conjunction with ASRSP’s Expense Review Workbook template. The report contains two sections, “Expense Transaction Query” and “Budget Query”. When exported to Excel, the data will appear on separate tabs.
This report is used by Principal Investigators, Department Administrators, and ASRSP to review detailed transaction history by contract or project id. It can reduce compliance risk by providing departments with easier access to and greater detail regarding expenses posted to grants.
The GM097 displays a comprehensive view of a research departments' entire research project portfolio, including non-clinical sponsored projects, cost-shared projects, and clinical trials.
Non-clinical project balances are displayed Total Budget less Direct and F&A Expenditures and Encumbrances.
Clinical project balances are displayed Cash Received less Direct and F&A Expenditures and Encumbrances, with Protocol numbers.
GL008 - Revenue and Expense Activity Report
SC016 - Open Encumbrances Report
GL069 - Financial Summary
Fri, 02 Sep 2022 09:25:00 -0500entext/htmlhttps://www.northwestern.edu/asrsp/grant-management/cognos-reporting-tools.htmlKillexams : I'll Scratch Your Candidate If You Scratch Mine
With the Republican Party poised to barely win the House, we will now witness some of the greatest political theater in the past half-century.
The Democratic and Republican parties have the same problem and are on track to solve each other’s problems during the next eighteen months. Both parties have a nominal leader who is not loved by a large portion of his party. In the case of the Democrats, a large majority have signaled that they do not want Joe Biden running again for president. And while Donald Trump still wins most internal polls for who should be the 2024 Republican candidate, the spectacular failure of many of the candidates that he supported and promoted leaves many in the party looking to Florida for new leadership the party.
So you have the case of two parties with leaders who are not liked by large portions of their fellow party members. So what can you do to make them go away? Well, it turns out that each party will help the other get rid of its problem. With the Republicans taking the House and thus establishing control over all committees, we certainly can expect a great deal of scrutiny of the Biden family and their various dealings with foreign entities in an apparent pay-to-play arrangement that has gone on for years if not decades. And the Republicans will no doubt get a lot of help from of all places the media. When the Washington Post and NY Times belatedly admitted that Hunter Biden’s laptop was real—after Pop Biden was in the White House—it was clear that the media might play a role in getting the Bidens out of the way of a potentially more appealing candidate. Kamala Harris, Hillary Clinton, and several sitting governors have made noises about 2024, and the papers of record might just use their position to promote stories that are politically expedient to help the Republicans in their efforts to get to the bottom of Biden, Inc. and possibly even an impeachment. So for the next year and beyond, we will see Republicans using their new committee power to look at Hunter’s dealings and his father’s role in getting rich. And the Democrats, many of them at least, will be thrilled with any path that will help take out the Bidens, President, and Dr., and open the door to a younger and potentially more appealing candidate. Expect many Democratic-sourced anonymous quotes about Biden's malfeasance and don’t be surprised to see some honest reporting by major newspapers as they try to get the Bidens to go away and not entertain a second run for the presidency.
And the Democrats will return the favor by indicting former president Trump. Attorney General Merrick Garland has been under enormous pressure to indict Trump and hurt him politically. The fact that Trump has done the latter by promoting several clunkers in the midterms and making unwise attacks against Governor DeSantis has made him less of a force in the Republican party, though he remains popular. Many Republicans will be glad to see Trump indicted and don’t be surprised if some step up to help the Democrats and their pet DoJ fight, Trump, to make room for DeSantis or another candidate whose name does not rhyme with “slump”.
So we will have the unusual theater of watching Republicans on the hill investigating Biden and Democrats and their friends in the media quietly cheering them on with the hope that Joe Biden will not run again. And over at the RFK building, the DoJ will be planning its various prosecutions of Trump and possibly his associates, and many Republicans who either do not like Trump or believe after the midterms that Trump’s time at the head of the party is over will quietly support anything that weakens the former president and keeps him occupied with something other than politics. Many will see a witch hunt, but many others will see a great reason not to nominate the former president for another go-around in 2024.
The Republicans could ostensibly hold off investigating Biden with the hope that he will run and thus cause a serious primary between him and Kamala Harris and/or other potential candidates who see an opportunity to switch out an unpopular president. I doubt that the Republicans will be able to resist the pressure and opportunity to investigate the Bidens after so many media and social media sources made the subject of Hunter’s laptop off-limits or tried to pass it off as “Russian disinformation”. The Republicans will investigate, call witnesses, and breathlessly report discoveries of the Bidens enriching themselves, and all the while, many Democrats will quietly be cheering them on in the hope that Joe Biden will have his jersey retired while he is still wearing it. And the DoJ will not be able to not indict Trump, especially after all of the January 6th histrionics, and so the DoJ will be doing the work of many Republicans who would like to see Donald Trump not run again in 2024.
So remember, if the 2024 match-up turns out to be DeSantis versus Kamala, you can thank the other political party for helping get rid of the one person standing in the way of these candidates.
Sat, 12 Nov 2022 10:00:00 -0600entext/htmlhttps://townhall.com/columnists/alanjosephbauer/2022/11/13/ill-scratch-your-candidate-if-you-scratch-mine-n2615897Killexams : Candidate Quality Mattered
On Monday, I wrote about my three key questions heading into Election Day. I’ll address the first two — about polling error and turnout — at length once results are a bit more final. But the third question, about whether candidate quality would matter, is the easiest to answer: It’s a resounding yes.
For one thing, just look at the large difference between Senate and gubernatorial results in states with both types of races on the ballot. In the nine states with battleground1 Senate races in states that also had a gubernatorial race on the ballot, there were significant discrepancies between the performance of the candidates:
Ticket-splitting abounded in key Senate and gubernatorial races
Margin between Democratic and Republican candidates as of 3 p.m. Eastern on Nov. 9 in battleground Senate races that also had a gubernatorial race on the ballot
We could wind up with as many as five of the nine states where one party wins the governorship and the other wins the Senate race. It’s already happened in New Hampshire and Wisconsin. It could happen in Nevada and Arizona, depending how the remaining vote comes in. And it will also happen in Georgia if Democrat Raphael Warnock wins the Dec. 6 runoff since Republican Brian Kemp comfortably won the gubernatorial race.
What to expect from Georgia’s Senate runoff | FiveThirtyEight
And even in states where there weren’t split-ticket winners, there were still big gaps in candidate performance. Ohio Gov. Mike DeWine, a Republican, won reelection by nearly 26 percentage points at the same time the GOP Senate candidate, J.D. Vance, won by just 6 points.2 In Pennsylvania, Democrat John Fetterman did well enough in the U.S. Senate race against Republican Mehmet Oz, but Democrat Josh Shapiro nonetheless won by a much larger margin against Republican Doug Mastriano in the gubernatorial contest.
Alternatively, we can benchmark candidates against the partisan lean index in each state, which measures a state’s partisan baseline and is mostly based on recent performance in presidential races. For this comparison, we’ll use the projected final Senate results as estimated by The New York Times/Upshot’s “Needle”:3
Democratic Senate candidates outperformed state partisan lean
Difference between FiveThirtyEight partisan-lean index and projected final margin for Democratic candidates in battleground Senate races
NYT Needle Proj.
Donald C. Bolduc
Herschel Junior Walker
Catherine Cortez Masto*
Adam Paul Laxalt
If The Upshot’s estimates are right, then Democrats will have outperformed the partisan lean of the state in all but two battleground Senate races: Washington, where Republican Tiffany Smiley seems to have held her own against incumbent Democrat Patty Murray, and Florida, where Marco Rubio appears to have cruised to reelection by double digits.
This measure isn’t perfect. States like Colorado and Florida may be trending in different directions relative to their historic norms, so results like these may say as much about the electorate as the candidates. We also don’t know what the overall national environment was on Tuesday. Maybe Democrats beat their partisan lean everywhere on Tuesday and not just in these battleground Senate races, although an early estimate from Patrick Ruffini of Echelon Insights suggests that Republicans will win the popular vote for the U.S. House, which would make Democrats’ strong performances in Senate battlegrounds even more impressive by comparison.
None of this is surprising — in fact, it’s common: In the 2018 midterms, the results in a number of major Senate races also significantly diverged from the partisan lean of the state. This year, Republicans nominated a series of inexperienced Senate candidates, and such candidates tend to underperform statewide benchmarks. And although the incumbency advantage is smaller than it once was, some of the strongest-performing candidates, such as Rubio and New Hampshire Democrat Maggie Hassan, were incumbents. And candidate quality almost certainly matters less than it once did, given the high partisanship of the modern political era. We’ve even made some changes to our forecast model to reflect this.
Still, another feature of modern American politics is exceptionally close races. So a candidate who underperforms by even 2 or 3 percentage points — let alone 5, 10 or more points — will often cost their party the election. Sometimes, quality has a big effect on quantity.
CORRECTION (Nov. 10, 2022, 10:50 a.m.): A previous version of this article misspelled the first name of Patrick Ruffini from Echelon Insights.
The ‘red wave’ didn’t happen | FiveThirtyEight Politics Podcast
Wed, 09 Nov 2022 08:35:00 -0600en-UStext/htmlhttps://fivethirtyeight.com/features/candidate-quality-mattered/Killexams : Here are the candidates who will make history with projected midterm election wins
States will elect their first women, Black candidates and more to key offices.
November 8, 2022, 11:47 PM
The 2022 midterm elections are expected to make history with their candidates: As vote counting wraps up across the country, ABC News projects that residents in several states will elect their first female, minority, LGTBQ and Gen Z candidates to state and federal offices.
Maura Healey is projected to be a "first" in multiple ways with her victory in the Massachusetts governor's race.
The Democrat, who currently serves as the state's attorney general, will not only be the state's first woman and first openly lesbian elected governor, she will also be the first openly lesbian governor in U.S. history.
In Maryland, Democrat Wes Moore is projected to beat Republican Dan Cox and became the state's first Black governor. Moore is an author, former Army captain and nonprofit CEO.
Republican Katie Britt is projected to become the first Alabama woman elected to the U.S. Senate; she was running against Democrat Will Boyd.
Britt, an attorney and businesswoman, previously served as the chief of staff to retired Sen. Richard Shelby.
Another female senator in Alabama, Dixie Bibb Graves, was appointed by her husband, Gov. Bibb Graves, to fill a vacancy and served for a few months in the 1930s.
Sarah Huckabee Sanders is projected to be Arkansas' first female governor by defeating Democrat Chris Jones. Sanders previously served as President Donald Trump's press secretary and is the daughter of former Arkansas Gov. Mike Huckabee.
Gov. Kathy Hochul is projected to become New York's first female elected governor in the state's history when she defeats Rep. Lee Zeldin in a highly watched race. Hochul assumed office last year after Gov. Andrew Cuomo resigned in disgrace following an investigation into multiple sexual harassment allegations. (Cuomo denied intentional wrongdoing.)
Congress is also projected to be getting its first Gen Z member when it begins its new term in January: Maxwell Frost, a 25-year-old progressive activist, will win his bid to represent Florida's 10th District.
Frost will defeat Calvin Wimbish to fill the seat left open by Rep. Val Demings, who ran for Senate against Republican incumbent Marco Rubio.
Karoline Leavitt, a Republican running in New Hampshire's 1st Congressional District, may join Frost as another Gen Z lawmaker. She is challenging incumbent Democratic Rep. Chris Pappas.
Tue, 08 Nov 2022 14:18:00 -0600entext/htmlhttps://abcnews.go.com/Politics/candidates-make-history-projected-midterm-election-wins/story?id=92931981Killexams : How did candidates who questioned, denied 2020 outcome fare in Tuesday's elections?
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Tue, 15 Nov 2022 03:21:00 -0600en-UStext/htmlhttps://www.usatoday.com/story/news/politics/2022/11/09/election-deniers-midterms/8258245001/Killexams : Democrats Boosting MAGA Candidates May Actually Pay Off
Democrats have played a risky game this election season, meddling in a number of GOP primary races across the country in hopes of bettering their odds of winning next week's elections. With four days until Election Day, it's looking like their bets paid off as Democratic candidates lead the polls in a series of races where they're up against a MAGA candidate.
Newsweek previously reported that Democrats had spent at least $43,885,000 in six states to boost far-right election deniers who were running against more moderate Republicans. Of the GOP candidates that Democrats funneled money toward, more than half won their primaries and will be on the ballot Tuesday. All six of those candidates are also projected to lose their races.
Democratic candidates running for governor in Pennsylvania, Illinois and Maryland all have double-digit leads over their Republican challengers. Incumbent Illinois Governor J.B. Pritzker and Democratic candidate Wes Moore, who is running in Maryland, both have more than a 99 in 100 chance of defeating their opponents, according to FiveThirtyEight's forecast. Pennsylvania Attorney General Josh Shapiro has a 97 in 100 chance of winning against GOP rival Doug Mastriano.
Pritzker and the Democratic Governors Association (DGA) dropped a combined $35 million in ads to elevate Donald Trump-endorsed Senator Darren Bailey, who has been unable to catch up to the incumbent Democrat's lead throughout the campaign. DGA also spent nearly $1.2 million to boost Republican state Representative Dan Cox, who is trailing Moore in Maryland by more than 30 points.
Although the race is closer in Pennsylvania, polling suggests that what was once a hot race will be an easy Democratic victory. Shapiro has an 11-point lead, according to FiveThirtyEight's Friday forecast.
It's likely the Democrats' decision to boost Mastriano, who has vowed to transform the state's election system, helped turn things around in the governor's race. The GOP primary was crowded, and a number of establishment Republicans threw their support behind more moderate candidate former Representative Lou Barletta out of fears that Mastriano's views would not be palatable in highly competitive areas.
Those anxieties seem to materialize over the course of the campaign cycle. Mastriano's views have been seen as even too extreme for Catholic voters who, according to a recent poll from RealClearPolitics, overwhelmingly support Republican candidates, except in the case of Pennsylvania, where they're willing to split their ticket and elect Shapiro.
"From the Democratic strategy point of view, their choice was successful," Carolyn Lukensmeyer, the founding executive director of the National Institute for Civil Discourse, told Newsweek. "But anything that supports political extremism is not acceptable at this point."
"In these cases, they did remove the most extreme candidates," she said. "But the bottom line is, people are really concerned that any act that seems to support a person running for office who's really got extreme views, is not good for our democracy."
Experts warn that the recent string of attacks against elected officials and their families, like the assault against House Speaker Nancy Pelosi's husband last week, are becoming normative in American democracy, and that helping election deniers run for office only exacerbates political violence.
Robert Lieberman, a political scientist at Johns Hopkins University, said that in an election where election denial has taken a deep hold on Republican voters and candidates, "promoting that kind of extremism will only push the Republican Party even further in that dangerous direction, win or lose."
"Republicans have shown that they are not beneath nominating and electing under-qualified and extreme candidates," he told Newsweek, citing Senate candidates Herschel Walker in Georgia, Mehmet Oz in Pennsylvania and J.D. Vance in Ohio. "I don't think it's wise for the Democrats to help them."
Although Democrats didn't directly fund ads aimed at those three candidates, they have enhanced the candidacy of Republican Senate nominee Don Bolduc in New Hampshire. The Senate Majority PAC, a group aligned with Senate Majority Leader Chuck Schumer spent $3.2 million on ads portraying Bolduc's primary opponent, state Senate President Chuck Morse, as more moderate.
In recent weeks, Bolduc has managed to narrow the lead between him and Democratic incumbent Senator Maggie Hassan, making the New Hampshire race one of the five Senate races with the closest polling margins. Last month, Hassan had an 8.6-lead over Bolduc. In just four weeks, Bolduc has seen a boost in the polls, only trailing his Democratic rival by 3.2 points as of Friday.
Yet despite the Republican's recent gains, FiveThirtyEight shows Hassan with a 73 in 100 chance of defeating Bolduc and the Cook Political Report is forecasting the race to "lean Democratic."
It's not only the Senate race that Democrats have interfered with in New Hampshire. Democrats Serve, a new PAC, booked $94,000 on cable TV to boost pro-Trump Republican Bob Burns in the GOP primary for the 2nd congressional district.
"Meet Bob Burns, the ultra-conservative candidate for Congress," a narrator is heard saying in a 30-second spot. "Burns follows the Trump playbook on immigration, the border and guns."
In a district that President Joe Biden carried by 9 points, Keene Mayor George Hansel, a pro-choice candidate who advocates for climate change, was viewed as being more likely to pick up crossover voters than Burns. So, the boost to Burns's campaign aimed to grant Democratic Representative Annie Kuster a more formidable opponent in the general election.
Burns, the more conservative candidate aligned with Trump, hasn't been able to close the gap between him and Kuster, who polls show as leading between 8 to 14 points over Burns. FiveThirtyEight predicts the Democrat is favored to win with a 90 in 100 chance of victory.
While most of the races where Democrats have boosted far-right candidates are leaning Democratic, one race is proving to be a risker bet. Democratic candidate Hillary Scholten is only "slightly favored" to win against Republican John Gibbs, a Trump-endorsed candidate who has repeatedly pushed claims that the 2020 election was "stolen."
The $435,000 that the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee (DCCC) had spent to promote Gibbs in his bid to oust GOP Representative Peter Meijer attracted Republican criticisms of Democrats who claim to be "the pro-democracy party."
"Don't keep coming to me, asking where are all the good Republicans that defend democracy, and then take your donors' money and spend half a million dollars promoting one of the worst election deniers that's out there," GOP Representative Adam Kinzinger told CNN before Gibbs defeated Meijer. "If Peter's opponent wins, the Democrats own that."
Pressed by Tapper about the Democratic strategy, DCCC chair Representative Patrick Maloney defended the move saying "not one dime was spent from the DCCC supporting any Republican, it was spent on criticizing a Republican for being too extreme."
"You're absolutely right. We thought [Gibbs] was an easier candidate and he has proven to be because he's a nut and he's too conservative for Western Michigan," Maloney said. "Let's be clear, again, $400,000 out of a $340 million budget. So, if you want to warm up these leftovers, we can keep going but right now we've got five or six days until we have an election and that's where my focus is."
With less than a week until Election Day, Gibbs has a 45 in 100 chance of defeating Scholten. Although the race still leans Democrat, according to the Cook Political Report, the race in Michigan has revealed the cracks in the troublesome strategy.
Lukensmeyer also pointed out that those tactics punish moderate Republicans who need to be uplifted.
"They need to be recognized, they need to be acknowledged, they need to be supported, because the more the Republican Party, as an institution, moves further to the right, we really don't have choices at the ballot that are in support of democracy, no matter who wins," she said.
In July, Democrats in Arizona faced blowback for sending an email blast that made former Board of Regents member Karrin Taylor Robson look more moderate than her opponent Kari Lake, who's now in a tight race for the governorship.
Although Democrats didn't funnel money into advertising, the email thanked Robson for past donations she made to Democratic candidates. Now, Lake, a staunch Trump ally who has refused to answer whether she would accept the results of next week's election if she loses, is leading in the polls against Democrat Katie Hobbs. According to FiveThirtyEight, Lake has a 63 in 100 chance of winning.
"The strategy of promoting extreme opposition candidates is a risky and cynical one, even if most or even all of the candidates you mention lose," Lieberman said. "It tends to promote extremism, exacerbate polarization, and undermine the idea that democratic politics is and all-out fight for mastery rather than a platform for accountable governance."
Fri, 04 Nov 2022 05:05:00 -0500entext/htmlhttps://www.newsweek.com/democrats-boosting-maga-candidates-may-pay-off-2022-midterms-1757079Killexams : OnPolitics: How did far right candidates fare in 2022 midterms?
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