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Killexams : Adobe Developer candidate - BingNews Search results Killexams : Adobe Developer candidate - BingNews Killexams : 3 Top Growth Stocks That Are Screaming Buys Right Now

Some investors cannot wait for 2022 to end. After all, many of them saw large price drops on at least some of their holdings. But 2022 also offered opportunities for some investors as many pricey stocks suddenly became considerably better values than they were in 2021's bull market. While some of these stocks were admittedly overvalued, there were also a select group of fantastic companies with prosperous futures that saw their stock prices fall steeply even though their underlying businesses remained strong.  

During this downturn, long-term investors buying into these companies are likely to be rewarded for maintaining their disciplined investment strategies, like dollar-cost averaging. As Morgan Creek Capital Management founder Mark Yusko once said, "Only in the stock market do people run out of the store when things go on sale." The quote offers a terrific reminder for investors just in time for the holiday shopping season. 

Three growth stocks with tremendous profit potential right now are Cloudflare (NYSE: NET), Adobe (NASDAQ: ADBE), and CrowdStrike (NASDAQ: CRWD). Let's take a closer look at these screaming buys.

1. Resilient results at Cloudflare

Cloudflare's network-as-a-service (NaaS) solves two significant headaches for its customers: Poor performance and costly on-premises hardware. The transfer of data has a speed limit and it's noticeable over long distances. This can result in poor performance on the network. Cloudflare has built data centers in 275 cities and more than 100 countries around the world to help with this distance issue, bringing 95% of internet users within 50 milliseconds of the services they rely on.

The company's platform also allows customers (mainly internet companies) to eliminate costly redundant hardware. Gone are the days when businesses need massive server rooms constantly buzzing in the basement. It's all outsourced to providers like Cloudflare. The market opportunity is gigantic, as Cloudflare estimates an addressable market of well over $100 billion moving forward.

Cloudflare has several enviable metrics, like a 76% gross margin and 156,000 paying customers. Still, it needs to expand its large customer pool (those paying more than $100,000 annually) to achieve its long-term goals. This large customer subset has grown 62%, compounded annually since 2019, and it totaled 1,908 in the third quarter. These favorable metrics resulted in massive revenue expansion, with sales expected to reach $974 million in fiscal 2022, as shown below.

Despite the great performance, Cloudflare's stock is down more than 77% from its 52-week high. It's trading at its lowest price-to-sales (P/S) ratio (16.5) since shortly after its 2019 IPO.

Patient growth investors who are OK with a bit of short-term volatility may want to consider a position in Cloudflare at these levels.

2. Was Adobe stock unfairly punished?

Adobe stock is down 42% year to date and more than 52% from its 52-week high. Much of this drop happened after Q3 earnings and a September announcement that it plans to acquire Figma. Figma is a cloud-based design software that allows multiple users to edit in real-time. It competes directly with Adobe XD and is growing like a weed.

Adobe is paying $20 billion for Figma, which is about 50 times its forecasted 2022 sales. On the surface, this seems like an extremely overpriced offer. However, it's a case of paying a lot now or potentially paying dearly in the future. The word is that Microsoft's designers, developers, and marketers don't just like Figma -- they love it. And they aren't alone. If Adobe doesn't act now, it risks losing tremendous market share to Figma or having it acquired by a deep-pocketed competitor. Figma's sales are expected to double this year. It has a 90% gross margin and is cash-flow positive. The deal looks expensive now but could be seen as a bargain when we look back on it in a few years. 

Adobe's creative, document, and experience clouds are growing, and its financial results are solid. Through the first three quarter of fiscal 2022 (ended Sept. 2), Adobe posted record revenue of $13.1 billion and an operating profit of $4.6 billion.

The stock is trading near its lowest price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio in many years, as shown below.

Chart showing Adobe's PE ratio falling since mid-2020. © Provided by The Motley Fool Chart showing Adobe's PE ratio falling since mid-2020.

ADBE PE Ratio data by YCharts

The stock drop looks excessive, meaning new long-term stockholders could profit handsomely when it recovers.

3. CrowdStrike finds cybersecurity is recession-resistant

Businesses are looking to cut back on expenses as inflation and a possible coming recession eat into profits. But one area it would be unwise to cut is cybersecurity. Breaches, ransomware, and downtime are expensive headaches that companies, governments, and infrastructure providers can ill afford. This is part of why many expect cybersecurity companies will continue to flourish. 

CrowdStrike's cloud-based Falcon platform is used by more than half of the Fortune 500 -- nearly 20,000 customers overall -- and has annual recurring revenue (ARR) of over $2.1 billion as of the second quarter of fiscal 2023 (ended July 31). As shown below, the company's rise has been eye-popping.

CrowdStrike isn't producing GAAP profits yet. But it has many encouraging financial metrics that growth investors look for, such as positive free cash flow ($442 million in fiscal 2022 and $293 million through Q2 of fiscal 2023), a high gross margin (over 75%), and shrinking operating expenses as a percentage of sales. 

The stock price is down 40% this year and trades at its lowest P/S ratio since the depths of the pandemic, offering good value to long-term shareholders.

Strong candidates for a growth stock portfolio

Growth stocks are out of favor this year, which should be music to the ears of long-term growth buffs. These three companies offer an excellent mix of industries, growth, profits, and innovation, making them strong candidates for inclusion in a growth stock portfolio. 


Find out why Cloudflare, Inc. is one of the 10 best stocks to buy now

Our award-winning analyst team has spent more than a decade beating the market. After all, the newsletter they have run for over a decade, Motley Fool Stock Advisor, has tripled the market.*

They just revealed their ten top stock picks for investors to buy right now. Cloudflare, Inc. is on the list -- but there are nine others you may be overlooking.

Click here to get access to the full list!


*Stock Advisor returns as of November 7, 2022


Bradley Guichard has positions in Adobe Inc., Cloudflare, Inc., CrowdStrike Holdings, Inc., and Microsoft. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Adobe Inc., Cloudflare, Inc., CrowdStrike Holdings, Inc., and Microsoft. The Motley Fool recommends the following options: long January 2024 $420 calls on Adobe Inc. and short January 2024 $430 calls on Adobe Inc. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

Mon, 28 Nov 2022 20:55:00 -0600 en-US text/html
Killexams : Adobe Unusual Options Activity

A whale with a lot of money to spend has taken a noticeably bearish stance on Adobe.

Looking at options history for Adobe ADBE we detected 10 strange trades.

If we consider the specifics of each trade, it is accurate to state that 40% of the investors opened trades with bullish expectations and 60% with bearish.

From the overall spotted trades, 7 are puts, for a total amount of $477,310 and 3, calls, for a total amount of $281,610.

What's The Price Target?

Taking into account the Volume and Open Interest on these contracts, it appears that whales have been targeting a price range from $285.0 to $1040.0 for Adobe over the last 3 months.

Volume & Open Interest Development

Looking at the volume and open interest is a powerful move while trading options. This data can help you track the liquidity and interest for Adobe's options for a given strike price. Below, we can observe the evolution of the volume and open interest of calls and puts, respectively, for all of Adobe's whale trades within a strike price range from $285.0 to $1040.0 in the last 30 days.

Adobe Option Volume And Open Interest Over Last 30 Days

Biggest Options Spotted:


Symbol PUT/CALL Trade Type Sentiment Exp. Date Strike Price Total Trade Price Open Interest Volume
ADBE CALL SWEEP BULLISH 12/16/22 $360.00 $208.6K 812 1
ADBE PUT TRADE BULLISH 01/20/23 $1040.00 $140.8K 9 4
ADBE PUT TRADE BEARISH 01/20/23 $1040.00 $70.4K 9 0
ADBE PUT SWEEP BEARISH 12/23/22 $330.00 $62.7K 96 43
ADBE PUT TRADE BULLISH 01/20/23 $900.00 $56.4K 0 2

Where Is Adobe Standing Right Now?

  • With a volume of 551,696, the price of ADBE is down -0.23% at $333.54.
  • RSI indicators hint that the underlying stock may be approaching overbought.
  • Next earnings are expected to be released in 17 days.

Options are a riskier asset compared to just trading the stock, but they have higher profit potential. Serious options traders manage this risk by educating themselves daily, scaling in and out of trades, following more than one indicator, and following the markets closely.

If you want to stay updated on the latest options trades for Adobe, Benzinga Pro gives you real-time options trades alerts.

© 2022 Benzinga does not provide investment advice. All rights reserved.

Mon, 28 Nov 2022 01:42:00 -0600 text/html
Killexams : iOS 16.2 Developer Beta 3: How to get Right Now

This story is part of Focal Point iPhone 2022, CNET's collection of news, tips and advice around Apple's most popular product.

Apple has just released the latest developer beta for iOS 16.2. Currently in its third iteration, iOS 16.2 features improvements to the Always-On Display -- allowing users to disable their wallpaper and notifications when AOD is enabled.

The first two developer beta versions of iOS 16.2 added sleep and medication widgets to the home screen, tweaks to Live Activities and the new collaborative brainstorming Freeform app.

CNET Tech Tips logo

And while it's pretty easy to get and install iOS 16.2 right now if you wanted, developer beta versions aren't intended for general use, especially because they may have unfinished features and issues that might make the iPhone difficult to use. These early beta releases are intended for developers, to help them keep their apps up to date while also providing early access to the existing features.

In short, you probably shouldn't install the developer beta on your primary iPhone. If you really want to get iOS 16.2 early though, try to find a spare iPhone that is new enough (iPhone 8 or later) to work with the latest software.

For those who still want to dive in, we'll show you how to install the iOS 16.2 developer version on your iPhone, as well as what to do in case you want to revert to a stable version of iOS 16.

Now playing: Watch this: Testing iOS 16 (Edit/Delete Sent Messages, New Lock Screen...


If you want to learn more about iOS 16, check out all the new features you should know about, including some cool hidden features and some other not-so-cool settings.

What to know before you get the iOS 16.2 developer beta

Because the iOS 16.2 developer beta is an early prerelease version, the software could have bugs and other issues.

Again, if you're thinking about downloading iOS 16.2, do it on a backup or secondary phone, if available. The iOS 16.2 developer beta's issues could cripple your iPhone and make it difficult to use, disabling phone calls or text messages or making it extremely laggy. However, if you only have your main phone or tablet available, make sure to back up your iPhone on iOS 16.1 before updating to iOS 16.2. That way you have the option to return to iOS 16.1 if there are too many issues on the new OS.

Also, you must have an iPhone 8 or later to run iOS 16.2. iOS 16 and its updates are not supported on the iPhone SE (2016), iPhone 6S, ‌iPhone‌ 6S Plus, ‌iPhone‌ 7 or ‌iPhone‌ 7 Plus and earlier. 

iPhone SE

Fortunately, the 2022 version of the iPhone SE will support iOS 16.

Patrick Holland/CNET

In order to get the iOS 16.2 developer beta 3, you must be enrolled in the Apple Developer Program, which costs $99 a year. If you don't want the latest developer's beta release, you can join the Apple Beta Software program and get the public beta version for free when it's available.

How to enroll in the Apple Developer Program

The first step to get the iOS 16.2 developer beta 3 on your iPhone is to enroll in the Apple Developer Program if you aren't already a member. If you're on your iPhone, here's how you can enroll:

1. get the Apple Developer app from the App Store.

2. Launch the app, go to Account and tap Enroll Now.

3. Sign in with your Apple ID credentials.

4. Read through the various benefits and instructions, enter your personal information and scan your ID to verify your identity.

5. Once this information is submitted, you must choose your entity (individual for most people) and agree to the program license agreement.

6. Finally, pay the Apple Developer membership fee (with Apple Pay), which is $99 (about £80 or AU$140) a year.

Signing up for Apple Developer Program

The Apple Developer app is free to get from the App Store.

Nelson Aguilar/CNET

After you successfully make the payment, you'll be redirected to your Account page in the Apple Developer app. Here you can verify that you're now enrolled, and you can also check out the date of your membership's expiration next year.

Install iOS 16.2 beta 3 with an over-the-air update on your iPhone

The easiest way to get the iOS 16.2 developer beta 3 is with an over-the-air update -- the way you would update to any other new software release on your device. Here's how:

1. On your iPhone or iPad, go to the Apple Developer Program download page, tap Install Profile for iOS 16.2 beta 3 and hit Allow.

2. Next, open the Settings app, tap on Profile Downloaded and hit Install on the top right when it appears. Enter your passcode if prompted and then tap Install two more times. Your phone will need to restart.

3. Once your phone boots back up, connect it to power, make sure you're on Wi-Fi and go to Settings > General > Software Update. If you don't instantly see an update available, wait a few minutes and check again.

4. Finally, hit Download and Install > Install and enter your passcode to update your device.

iOS 16 on the iPhone

Once you get and install the iOS 16.2 beta 3, any updates will appear as over-the-air updates on your iPhone.

Nelson Aguilar/CNET

After your phone finishes rebooting, you should have access to the latest iOS 16.2 developer beta 3.

Download the iOS 16.2 developer beta using your Mac

Over-the-air updates require a certain amount of storage, and if you don't have that available, using your computer is really the only way to update to iOS 16.2 beta 3 without manually clearing out space.

1. On your Mac, go to the Apple Developer Program download page, find iOS 16.2 beta 3 and click Download Restore Images.

2. get the iOS beta software restore image for your specific device.

3. Next, connect your device to your computer and enter your device passcode or hit Trust This Computer if prompted.

4. Open Finder and click your device in the sidebar under Locations.

5. In General, next to Software, you'll see the latest software your device is running. 

6. Hold down the Option key, click Check for Update and choose the iOS 16.2 beta 3 software restore image you just downloaded from the Apple Developer page.

iOS 16 beta  get on Mac

If you don't have much storage on your device, you can get and install iOS 16 beta 3 using your Mac.

Nelson Aguilar/CNET

The iOS 16.2 beta 3 software will install on your device. Wait for a few minutes and when your phone reboots, you should have access.

Thu, 15 Sep 2022 13:12:00 -0500 See full bio en text/html
Killexams : Warnock Has More Cash, But GOP Super-PAC Has Plenty for Walker

(Bloomberg) -- Democratic Senator Raphael Warnock has three times as much cash as former NFL great Herschel Walker heading into the final stretch of their runoff in Georgia, but a Republican super-PAC has plenty of money to help the GOP candidate compete, according to the latest filings with the Federal Election Commission.

Most Read from Bloomberg

Warnock has $30 million in cash on hand, while Republican Walker has $9.8 million, the filings show. The Senate Leadership Fund, which has ties to Senate GOP leader Mitch McConnell of Kentucky and is the biggest spender on Walker’s behalf, had $11 million in the bank as of Nov. 16, the filings show. Citadel Enterprise Americas Inc. founder Ken Griffin is among biggest donors to the super-PAC.

The candidates face off Dec. 6 in the final Senate contest of the 2022 midterms because neither surpassed 50% of the vote in the general election a little more than two weeks ago, which included a third-party candidate. If Warnock keeps the seat, Democrats will have a 51-49 advantage in the Senate. Should Walker prevail, the chamber would remain evenly split, with Vice President Kamala Harris’s tie-breaking vote giving Democrats effective control.

Warnock raised $52 million in the period between Oct. 20 through Nov. 16. Almost half of his contributions came from donors who gave less than $200. He spent $33 million and entered the last 19 days of the race with $30 million cash on hand, roughly three times as much as Walker.

After raising $21 million and spending $16 million, Walker has $9.8 million in the bank. He raised $11.7 million from small-dollar donors. Former Senator Kelly Loeffler, who lost to Warnock in a 2021 runoff, was among those giving the maximum $2,900 to Walker’s campaign.

Democratic donors continue to provide a big financial advantage to their candidates. The party’s Senate incumbents and challengers in key battleground states outraised their Republican rivals, all of whom were endorsed by former President Donald Trump, by an average of $36 million.

That’s allowed Democrats to dominate campaign advertising, including in the Georgia runoff. Warnock and allied groups are spending $37.5 million compared with $20.9 million by Walker and the GOP super-PACs supporting him, according to AdImpact, which tracks political media expenditures.

Warnock’s campaign is the biggest spender at $17.6 million, followed by Georgia Honor, a super-PAC funded by the Democratic leadership-aligned Senate Majority PAC, at $14.7 million. The Senate Leadership Fund is spending $16 million on the runoff, followed by Walker’s campaign at $6.6 million.

The conservative super-PAC’s biggest source of funds was One Nation, an allied political nonprofit that doesn’t disclose donors, which contributed $20.6 million of so-called dark money.

Miriam Adelson, the wife of the late casino magnate Sheldon Adelson, was one of the biggest donors to the super-PAC with $2.5 million, while Citadel’s billionaire founder Griffin gave $2 million. West Realm Shire Services Inc., better known by its trading name FTX US, donated $1 million on Oct. 27, about two weeks before the crypto exchange and related entities filed for bankruptcy. All three contributed before the Nov. 8 election.

Investment banker Warren Stephens and the American Petroleum Institute, the trade association of the oil and gas industry, each donated $1 million after the midterm.

Walker has also gotten support from 34N22, a super-PAC named in part for the uniform number he wore as a standout for the University of Georgia Bulldogs in their 1980 national championship season. 34N22 raised $1.4 million and had $1.3 million in the bank. Home Depot Inc. co-founder Bernard Marcus gave $500,000 for the runoff.

Georgia Honor, which is supporting Warnock, didn’t file a pre-runoff disclosure with the FEC. The Senate Majority PAC, which sponsors Georgia Honor, didn’t immediately respond to a request for comment.

(Updates with details on donors to Senate Leadership Fund, in 11th paragraph. An earlier version corrected cash on hand figure for the Senate Leadership Fund in the second paragraph.)

Most Read from Bloomberg Businessweek

©2022 Bloomberg L.P.

Fri, 25 Nov 2022 10:56:00 -0600 en-US text/html
Killexams : Adobe Reader XI

Popular searches: PDF creator, Word to PDF converter, file compare, interactive PDF

Adobe online services are available only to users 13 and older and require agreement to additional terms and Adobe’s online privacy policy. Online services are not available in all countries or languages, may require user registration, and may be subject to change or discontinuation without notice. Additional fees or subscription charges may apply.

Thu, 12 May 2022 13:08:00 -0500 en text/html
Killexams : SmartBear: Applications Open for New Software Developer Academy Designed to Launch Rewarding Careers

SmartBear Developer Academy in Wroclaw, Poland seeks trainees with a passion for learning new technologies and best practices in a 12-week paid software development program

SmartBear, a leading provider of software development and visibility tools, is accepting applications for its new Developer Academy, the company's best-in-class software development training program to prepare entry-level software engineers with the hands-on skills and confidence to be a successful developer. Based in the SmartBear Wroclaw, Poland office, the 12-week paid program starts February 6, 2023 and includes a combination of in-classroom, online, and practical learning designed for career progression in software development at SmartBear.

"The software industry is growing exponentially, and knowledgeable developers are in high demand," said Dan Faulkner, Chief Product Officer at SmartBear. "If you have thought about becoming a software engineer, now is the perfect time to apply to the SmartBear Developer Academy. Our mission is to bring technical talent into our learning center of excellence, providing the opportunity to write code and plan projects all while collaborating with a team of developers, automation engineers, product managers, and UI/UX designers. SmartBear is committed to enhancing the lives of our employees by providing this authentic developer experience in Poland."

On a day-to-day basis as a software engineer, candidates will spend time writing code, collaborating with team members, planning projects, and learning valuable skills in building a new software product from scratch, adding new features, or making general improvements to an existing product.

Software engineering candidates will be part of one of SmartBear's wide portfolio of products that use state-of-the-art technologies in the areas of APIs, test management, functional testing, and observability and will have the opportunity to work with Java, JavaScript, Python, SQL, noSQL, Cloud, Microservices, Windows, Linux, macOS, Docker, Kubernetes, and VMware.

Upon successful completion of the program, select candidates will receive a contract of employment with SmartBear and will be assigned to a product team the company's API functional testing group or Zephyr test management group.

SmartBear supports its worldwide team holistically with local and global initiatives while in the office as well as in the community where they live. This year, the company has delivered on several of its global Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) goals and is proud to inspire work in spaces that support Community, Sustainability, Governance, and Diversity.

Earlier this month, SmartBear unveiled office expansions at its Bath, UK office as well as its headquarters in Somerville, Massachusetts to support company culture and collaboration. Other office expansions are planned in 2023, including Europe early in the year.

Candidates need to pass an entry level code test, be proficient in English, and have a passion for learning. For more information, including compensation package and to apply today, go to:

About SmartBear
SmartBear provides a portfolio of trusted tools that provide software development teams around the world visibility into end-to-end quality through test management and automation, API development lifecycle, and application stability, ensuring each software release is better than the last. Award winning tools include SwaggerHub, TestComplete, Bugsnag, ReadyAPI, Zephyr, and Pactflow, among others. SmartBear is trusted by over 16 million developers, testers, and software engineers at 32,000+ organizations including innovators like Adobe, JetBlue, FedEx, and Microsoft. With an active peer-to-peer community, we meet customers where they are to help make our technology-driven world a better place. SmartBear is committed to ethical corporate practices and social responsibility, promoting good in all the communities we serve. Learn more at, or follow on LinkedIn, Twitter, or Facebook.

All trademarks recognized.


Tracy Wemett

Mon, 05 Dec 2022 18:07:00 -0600 de text/html
Killexams : Adobe turns Flex dev framework over to Apache

Adobe will turn over its Flex SDK 4.6 development environment to the Apache Software Foundation, as the company claims to further its commitment to HTML5 as the “best technology for enterprise application development” in the long term.

Adobe recently updated its “Your Questions About Flex” page to include information on what will happen to the program. Earlier this month, the company announced it would cease development on Flash for mobile devices. And in August, the company rolled out a public preview of Edge, a motion interaction design tool for creating animated Web content based on CSS, HTML5 and JavaScript.

Adobe said in its blog that it is preparing two proposals for incubating Flex SDK and BlazeDS to Apache. It will contribute the core of Flex along with yet-to-be-released components, including ViewStack, Accordion, DateField, DateChooser and an enhanced DataGrid. Additionally, Adobe will be contributing portions of Falcon, a next-generation MXML and ActionScript compiler.

Although Flex has been open source since version 3, Adobe used to own the road map and decide what and when new features would be implemented. Now, members of Apache will provide the leadership and direction for the project.

Adobe reported that it will continue to support applications built with Flex as well as future versions of the SDK running within the Adobe Flash Player. AIR applications will also be supported indefinitely.

Mon, 02 Jan 2012 11:09:00 -0600 en-US text/html
Killexams : Candidate Quality Mattered

On Monday, I wrote about my three key questions heading into Election Day. I’ll address the first two — about polling error and turnout — at length once results are a bit more final. But the third question, about whether candidate quality would matter, is the easiest to answer: It’s a resounding yes.

For one thing, just look at the large difference between Senate and gubernatorial results in states with both types of races on the ballot. In the nine states with battleground1 Senate races in states that also had a gubernatorial race on the ballot, there were significant discrepancies between the performance of the candidates:

Ticket-splitting abounded in key Senate and gubernatorial races

Margin between Democratic and Republican candidates as of 3 p.m. Eastern on Nov. 9 in battleground Senate races that also had a gubernatorial race on the ballot

State Senate Governor Difference
New Hampshire D+9.6 R+15.7 25.3
Ohio R+6.6 R+25.6 19.0
Pennsylvania D+3.4 D+13.4 10.0
Georgia D+0.9 R+7.6 8.5
Colorado D+12.2 D+17.1 4.9
Wisconsin R+1.0 D+3.4 4.4
Arizona D+5.0 D+0.7 4.3
Florida R+16.4 R+19.4 3.0
Nevada R+2.7 R+4.8 2.1

Source: ABC News

We could wind up with as many as five of the nine states where one party wins the governorship and the other wins the Senate race. It’s already happened in New Hampshire and Wisconsin. It could happen in Nevada and Arizona, depending how the remaining vote comes in. And it will also happen in Georgia if Democrat Raphael Warnock wins the Dec. 6 runoff since Republican Brian Kemp comfortably won the gubernatorial race.

What to expect from Georgia’s Senate runoff | FiveThirtyEight

And even in states where there weren’t split-ticket winners, there were still big gaps in candidate performance. Ohio Gov. Mike DeWine, a Republican, won reelection by nearly 26 percentage points at the same time the GOP Senate candidate, J.D. Vance, won by just 6 points.2 In Pennsylvania, Democrat John Fetterman did well enough in the U.S. Senate race against Republican Mehmet Oz, but Democrat Josh Shapiro nonetheless won by a much larger margin against Republican Doug Mastriano in the gubernatorial contest.

Alternatively, we can benchmark candidates against the partisan lean index in each state, which measures a state’s partisan baseline and is mostly based on latest performance in presidential races. For this comparison, we’ll use the projected final Senate results as estimated by The New York Times/Upshot’s “Needle”:3

Democratic Senate candidates outperformed state partisan lean

Difference between FiveThirtyEight partisan-lean index and projected final margin for Democratic candidates in battleground Senate races

State Democratic candidate Republican candidate 538 PLI NYT Needle Proj. Diff.
AZ Mark Kelly* Blake Masters R+7.1 D+2.8 +9.9
NH Maggie Hassan* Donald C. Bolduc D+0.6 D+9.0 +8.4
GA Raphael Warnock* Herschel Junior Walker R+7.4 D+0.5 +7.9
CO Michael Bennet* Joe O’Dea D+6.7 D+14.0 +7.3
PA John Fetterman Mehmet Oz R+3.0 D+4.0 +7.0
OH Tim Ryan J.D. Vance R+12.1 R+6.6 +5.5
NV Catherine Cortez Masto* Adam Paul Laxalt R+2.5 D+0.4 +2.9
WI Mandela Barnes Ron Johnson* R+3.8 R+1.3 +2.5
NC Cheri Beasley Ted Budd R+4.8 R+3.7 +1.1
WA Patty Murray* Tiffany Smiley D+14.2 D+11.0 -3.2
FL Val Demings Marco Rubio* R+7.4 R+16.0 -8.6


The projected final margin for these races is according to The New York Times’s “Needle,” which stopped being updated at 4 a.m. Eastern on Nov. 9.

Source: The New York Times

If The Upshot’s estimates are right, then Democrats will have outperformed the partisan lean of the state in all but two battleground Senate races: Washington, where Republican Tiffany Smiley seems to have held her own against incumbent Democrat Patty Murray, and Florida, where Marco Rubio appears to have cruised to reelection by double digits.

This measure isn’t perfect. States like Colorado and Florida may be trending in different directions relative to their historic norms, so results like these may say as much about the electorate as the candidates. We also don’t know what the overall national environment was on Tuesday. Maybe Democrats beat their partisan lean everywhere on Tuesday and not just in these battleground Senate races, although an early estimate from Patrick Ruffini of Echelon Insights suggests that Republicans will win the popular vote for the U.S. House, which would make Democrats’ strong performances in Senate battlegrounds even more impressive by comparison.

None of this is surprising — in fact, it’s common: In the 2018 midterms, the results in a number of major Senate races also significantly diverged from the partisan lean of the state. This year, Republicans nominated a series of inexperienced Senate candidates, and such candidates tend to underperform statewide benchmarks. And although the incumbency advantage is smaller than it once was, some of the strongest-performing candidates, such as Rubio and New Hampshire Democrat Maggie Hassan, were incumbents. And candidate quality almost certainly matters less than it once did, given the high partisanship of the modern political era. We’ve even made some changes to our forecast model to reflect this.

Still, another feature of modern American politics is exceptionally close races. So a candidate who underperforms by even 2 or 3 percentage points — let alone 5, 10 or more points — will often cost their party the election. Sometimes, quality has a big effect on quantity.

CORRECTION (Nov. 10, 2022, 10:50 a.m.): A previous version of this article misspelled the first name of Patrick Ruffini from Echelon Insights.

The ‘red wave’ didn’t happen | FiveThirtyEight Politics Podcast

Wed, 09 Nov 2022 08:35:00 -0600 en-US text/html
Killexams : Ampang voters unhappy with 'pro-developer' candidate © Provided by MalaysiaNow

As the first week of campaigning for the Nov 19 polls draws to a close, voters in Ampang are still coming to terms with the sheer number of candidates vying for their support. 

With no fewer than nine candidates from across the political spectrum making their way through the constituency, they are slowly but surely becoming familiar with these aspiring MPs.

But even as they meet with the contenders, shake their hands and listen to their plans and promises, they have criteria of their own against which to benchmark their support for the individual in question. 

Andrew Tan, who is in the furniture and home improvement business, said he for one was not surprised that so many groups were targeting Ampang this time around. 

Tan, 63, said the constituency was becoming increasingly known as a money-maker for developers. 

"Ampang is very crowded and densely populated," he said. 

"But the minute there's an empty site, within a matter of months, someone will be using it for development. 

"It doesn't matter what it is – shoplots, houses. Developers are a dime a dozen in Ampang, and meanwhile the residents can't even find a place to park.

"The minute there's an empty spot, they see it as a place to start building something."  

Speaking to MalaysiaNow, Tan said the residents could do little more than resign themselves to the situation. 

"'Redha', the Malays say. That's how everyone in Ampang feels right now. Just accept it." 

Tan's friend, Syed Fahmi agreed. He said developers would continue to take things for granted in Ampang if they were not put in their place. 

"If the person who looks after Ampang likes developers, of course developers will like Ampang," he said. 

"But the people on the streets, who do we like? Can we decide not to like either one?"

Syed Fahmi was referring to Ampang incumbent, Zuraida Kamaruddin, who had been described as "pro-developer" during her time as the housing and local government minister under Pakatan Harapan (PH). 

She was often criticised for appearing to favour developers through the introduction of housing campaigns, including the Malaysia My Second Home programme aimed at foreigners from China and Hong Kong.

She was also alleged to have received RM1 million in contributions from a blacklisted developer to the Penggerak Komuniti Negara NGO which she patronised in 2020. 

She took down a photo of her receiving a mock cheque for the amount after questions were raised about the issue. 

Zuraida, a three-term MP for Ampang, faces fellow women candidates Rodziah Ismail of Pakatan Harapan (PH), Ivone Low Yi Wen of Barisan Nasional (BN), lawyer Sasha Lyna Abdul Latif of Perikatan Nasional (PN) and Nurul Ashikin Mabahwi of Gerakan Tanah Air (GTA). 

The four others are Warisan candidate Bryan Lai Wai Chong and independents Muhammad Shafiq Izwan Mohd Yunos, Tan Hua Meng and M Raveendra.


Hidayu Omar, who runs a clothing stall at a shopping centre in the area, said he and his neighbours had been offended by Zuraida's "reset Ampang" campaign. 

Speaking to MalaysiaNow, he said he was tired of dealing with the same problems day in and day out – traffic congestion, flash floods and water cuts on a regular basis. 

"Out of the blue, she wants to 'reset Ampang'. Why now?" he asked. "We had the same problems before this but she only realises it now, just before the election?

"What has she been doing for the past 15 years if, at this general election, she wants to 'reset Ampang'? I'm really angry and disappointed." 

Hidayu, who lives only 5km away from the shopping mall, said he nevertheless needed more than 10 minutes to get there on normal days – sometimes 15, if traffic was bad. 

When asked about the water disruptions in the area, he only shook his head.

A youth who introduced himself as Hafiz Hafifi Hassan said he wanted a candidate who could make good policies for the constituency, especially to deal with the problem of flash floods. 

He said representatives who were only active during times of disaster were not fit to be MPs. 

"We don't want an MP who only comes down when it floods," he said. "If that's all they do, it would be better for them to just volunteer their services at an NGO." 

Zuraida, who won and defended her seat on a PKR ticket, joined Bersatu in 2020 after being sacked from the party in the aftermath of the Sheraton Move which saw the collapse of the PH government. 

In May this year, she announced her decision to leave Bersatu and join Parti Bangsa Malaysia instead.

She also resigned from the Cabinet where she had served under three administrations in two portfolios: housing and local government, and plantation industries and commodities.

Wed, 09 Nov 2022 14:16:00 -0600 en-MY text/html
Killexams : Stadium developer pitches plan to mayoral runoff candidates

SHREVEPORT, La. -- The developer for a new baseball stadium is looking for the city's next power hitter. That's the player to be named later in the runoff election for mayor.

About a month after announcing the plan with Mayor Adrian Perkins, the president of REV Entertainment came back to Shreveport to pitch the project to both candidates in the runoff, Tom Arceneaux and Greg Tarver.

"The only way this works is as a public-private partnership. We would never want to enter into a community where we didn't have a partnership with the city."

Last month when Perkins announced the project along with Decker, the mayor dodged when asked how much public money would be used. Decker says a mix of public and private money could be raised. And he echoes what Perkins said.

"We're still prepared to pay a long term lease on the facility to operate the cost, and our project will drive the revenues that will create sales tax and increase the value of properties, that will generate revenue to pay off the debt service," Decker said.

Decker plans to develop other properties in addition to the stadium and multi-use venue.

"Things like like a hotel. We think that that can be a tremendous asset to the local hospitals, to visiting teams, to the Mudbugs, to fans coming in for games, to teams visiting and for games. And a restaurant type concept that also gives folks an opportunity to come early for a ballgame or stay late after the ballgame," he said.

Arceneaux, the Republican candidate for mayor, said of Decker's plan, "It's an interesting concept from a legitimate company that needs further discussion."

But Arceneaux says he's hesitant to commit the city to a bond project to pay for it.

Tarver, a Democrat, characterized it as an introductory meeting.

"I don't have any feelings one way or the other about it yet. But this city doesn't have $70 million to build it."

The exact price tag on the stadium is not set yet, as it's still in design stage.

Decker says the city could utilize private contributions along with public money for the stadium.

Decker says if it's built on the fairgrounds, he'd like it close to Hirsch Coliseum, where the Mudbugs hockey team plays, and Independence Stadium.

He's confident that REV Entertainment, which partners with the MLB's Texas Rangers and others, can lure an independent league pro baseball team to Shreveport in a new stadium.

Decker says independent league baseball is much more advanced than it was when the Shreveport-Bossier Captains played in such a league, before abandoning Fair Grounds Field after the 2011 season. The stadium is set to be demolished.

Decker and Perkins have said that building new is wiser than renovating Fair Grounds Field, which opened in 1986. It was the home of the Shreveport Captains, which won multiple Texas League AA championships in the 1990's.

Thu, 10 Nov 2022 15:56:00 -0600 en text/html
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